🗳️ Elections

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

Live

Resolves Oct 24, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

88%

12%

No (12%)Yes (88%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 88%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.