Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 17+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

32%

68%

No (68%)Yes (32%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 32%.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Mississippi Senate margin of victory

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 3+ pts

80%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 5+ pts

65%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 7+ pts

45%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 9+ pts

29%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 11+ pts

17%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 19+ pts

16%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 13+ pts

13%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 21+ pts

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 23+ pts

Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 15+ pts

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

32%

probability of YES

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32%Check

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$336

CategoryElections

StatusOpen