🗳️ Elections
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 3+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$14
Liquidity
$678
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 80%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 5+ pts
65%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 7+ pts
45%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 17+ pts
32%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 9+ pts
29%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 11+ pts
17%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 19+ pts
16%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 13+ pts
13%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 21+ pts
5%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 23+ pts
5%
Mississippi Senate margin of victory — Smith, 15+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14
Liquidity$678
CategoryElections
StatusOpen