🎯 Other

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

96%

No (96%)Yes (4%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 4%. Polymarket has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.