📊 Macro

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether Dario Amodei is the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at that date and time. Only Dario Amodei's status at that moment will be considered. A resignation or removal followed by a return to the position before that moment will not affect resolution, and an announced resignation or removal that has not yet taken effect will not be considered. Dario Amodei will be considered Chief Executive Officer only if he holds the Chief Executive Officer title, including as co-Chief Executive Officer. Another role, such as executive chairman, without that title will not count. Anthropic's first trading day is the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading, as confirmed by official announcements from Anthropic and the relevant exchange. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dario Amodei and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen