🎯 Other
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Luke Evans

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Luke Evans is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden
40%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'Connor
25%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum Turner
19%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Barton
10%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Ashton
9%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert Pattinson
7%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Taylor-Johnson
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Theo James
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — James Norton
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack O'Connell
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Aaron Pierre
6%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jacob Elordi
5%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Henry Cavill
5%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Blyth
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Charlie Hunnam
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Regé-Jean Page
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Paul Mescal
4%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Joe Alwyn
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Damson Idris
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Hardy
3%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Scott Rose-Marsh
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Harris Dickinson
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Holland
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Richard Madden
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jonathan Bailey
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — George MacKay
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Nicholas Hoult
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Tom Francis
2%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Idris Elba
1%
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Cillian Murphy
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen