🗳️ Elections
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 11+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 20%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 1+ pts
94%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 3+ pts
79%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 5+ pts
71%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 7+ pts
56%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 9+ pts
37%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 13+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 15+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 1+ pts
9%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 3+ pts
4%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 17+ pts
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
20%
probability of YES
Kalshi
20%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen