🗳️ Elections
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 5+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
71%
No
29%
No (29%)Yes (71%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 71%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 1+ pts
94%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 3+ pts
79%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 7+ pts
56%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 9+ pts
37%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 11+ pts
20%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 15+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 13+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 1+ pts
9%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 3+ pts
4%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 17+ pts
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
71%
probability of YES
Kalshi
71%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen