🗳️ Elections
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 3+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · North Carolina Senate margin of victory
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 1+ pts
94%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 3+ pts
79%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 5+ pts
71%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 7+ pts
56%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 9+ pts
37%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 11+ pts
20%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 13+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 15+ pts
10%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Whatley, 1+ pts
9%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory — Cooper, 17+ pts
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen