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Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Tony

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Tony has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
97%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
92%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
87%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
85%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
83%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
80%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
60%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
46%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
44%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
41%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
40%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
37%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
32%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
30%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
19%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Josephine
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Paper Tiger
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Social Reckoning
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Minotaur
13%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
7%Check
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen