Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 14

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Resolves Oct 20, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

92%

No (92%)Yes (8%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.

About this market

If Oct 14, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 13

18%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 16

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 15

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 17

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 18

13%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 12

10%

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

8%Check

TG WA

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Resolution

Oct 20, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$5k

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen