Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 18

Live

Resolves Oct 20, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

13%

87%

No (87%)Yes (13%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%.

About this market

If Oct 18, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 13

18%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 16

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 15

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 17

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 14

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 12

10%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

13%

probability of YES

Kalshi

13%Check

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Resolution

Oct 20, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$160

Liquidity$1k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen