🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 20
Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 5
58%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 10
9%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 15
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 30
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 25
1%
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen