🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 5
Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
69%
No
31%
No (31%)Yes (69%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 69%. Kalshi has moved down 15pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 10
9%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 15
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 20
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 30
2%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 25
1%
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen