🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 30

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 5
58%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 10
9%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 15
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 20
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 25
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen