🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$23k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$23k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen