🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$58
Liquidity
$8k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 33%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027
30%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Nov 1, 2026
12%
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Oct 1, 2026
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
33%
probability of YES
Kalshi
33%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$58
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen