Pete Hegseth departure announced? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

31%

69%

No (69%)Yes (31%)

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 31%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

31%

probability of YES

Kalshi

Resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$45

Liquidity$6k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen