🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
58%
No
42%
No (42%)Yes (58%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$24k
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 58%.
About this market
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029
93%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
93%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
90%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
88%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
86%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Feb 1, 2027
72%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
38%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$24k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen