🗳️ Elections

French election called by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen