📊 Macro
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$19k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 37%.
About this market
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
All outcomes · 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
49%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
11%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3%
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$19k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen