📊 Macro
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 45%.
About this market
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
All outcomes · 2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
38%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
11%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3%
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen