🗳️ Elections

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

Live
Resolves Oct 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen