📊 Macro
How many jobs added in October?
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October?
Live
Resolves Nov 7, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$297
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 11%.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
All outcomes · How many jobs added in October?
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?
32%
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?
21%
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October?
15%
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in October?
12%
Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?
11%
Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?
3%
Resolution
Nov 7, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$297
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen