⚽ Sports
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Fight to Go the Distance?
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$145
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 32%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gaston Bolaños and Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
All outcomes · UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
51%
Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?
51%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 2?
50%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 3?
50%
Will the fight end before Round 3?
50%
Will the fight end before Round 2?
50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 2?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 1?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 3?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 1?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win by KO or TKO?
50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
50%
Will the fight be won by decision?
50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds
50%
Will the fight be won by submission?
50%
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$145
CategorySports
StatusOpen