⚽ Sports
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gaston Bolaños and Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
All outcomes · UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
51%
Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?
51%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 1?
50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 1?
50%
Will the fight end before Round 3?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 2?
50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 3?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win in Round 2?
50%
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 3?
50%
Will the fight end before Round 2?
50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds
50%
Will the fight be won by submission?
50%
Will Gaston Bolaños win by KO or TKO?
50%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
50%
Will the fight be won by decision?
50%
Fight to Go the Distance?
32%
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4
CategorySports
StatusOpen