Will Republicans lose any "Solid / Likely R" House race?
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 96%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, a candidate who is not a Republican wins one or more of the U.S. House races listed below. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant races are the currently-scheduled 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in the following 177 congressional districts, which are rated "Solid Republican" or "Likely Republican" by the Cook Political Report as of November 2, 2026: AL-01, AL-03, AL-04, AL-05, AL-06, AR-01, AR-02, AR-03, AR-04, AZ-05, AZ-08, AZ-09, CA-05, CA-20, CA-23, CA-40, CO-03, FL-01, FL-02, FL-03, FL-04, FL-05, FL-06, FL-08, FL-11, FL-12, FL-15, FL-16, FL-17, FL-18, FL-19, FL-21, FL-26, FL-28, GA-01, GA-03, GA-07, GA-08, GA-09, GA-10, GA-11, GA-12, GA-14, IA-04, ID-01, ID-02, IL-12, IL-15, IL-16, IN-02, IN-03, IN-04, IN-06, IN-08, IN-09, KS-01, KS-02, KS-04, KY-01, KY-02, KY-04, KY-05, LA-01, LA-03, LA-04, LA-05, LA-06, MD-01, MI-01, MI-02, MI-05, MI-09, MN-06, MN-07, MN-08, MO-02, MO-03, MO-04, MO-06, MO-07, MO-08, MS-01, MS-03, MS-04, MT-02, NC-03, NC-05, NC-06, NC-07, NC-08, NC-09, NC-10, NC-13, NC-14, ND-AL, NE-01, NE-03, NJ-02, NJ-04, NY-01, NY-02, NY-11, NY-23, NY-24, OH-02, OH-04, OH-05, OH-06, OH-08, OH-12, OH-14, OK-01, OK-02, OK-03, OK-04, OK-05, OR-02, PA-09, PA-11, PA-13, PA-14, PA-15, PA-16, SC-02, SC-03, SC-04, SC-05, SC-07, SD-AL, TN-01, TN-02, TN-03, TN-04, TN-05, TN-06, TN-07, TN-08, TN-09, TX-01, TX-02, TX-03, TX-04, TX-05, TX-06, TX-08, TX-09, TX-10, TX-11, TX-12, TX-13, TX-14, TX-17, TX-19, TX-21, TX-22, TX-24, TX-25, TX-26, TX-27, TX-31, TX-32, TX-36, TX-38, UT-02, UT-03, UT-04, VA-06, VA-09, WA-04, WA-05, WI-05, WI-06, WI-07, WI-08, WV-01, WV-02, WY-AL. The winner of each race is determined including any runoff or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election