🗳️ Elections
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 12
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$178
Liquidity
$375
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 12 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 9
29%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 10
22%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 16
11%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 20
7%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 14
7%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 25
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$178
Liquidity$375
CategoryElections
StatusOpen