🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 185
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 96%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 150
98%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 170
98%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 180
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 160
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 190
86%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 195
79%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 200
66%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 205
45%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 210
42%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 220
19%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen