🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 170
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 170 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 150
95%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 160
92%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 180
72%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 185
60%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 190
57%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 195
50%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 200
31%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 205
27%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 210
13%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 220
9%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen