🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 195
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 80%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 195 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 150
99%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 160
98%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 170
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 180
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 185
92%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 190
86%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 200
62%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 205
51%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 210
32%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 220
8%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen