🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 185
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
92%
No
8%
No (8%)Yes (92%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 92%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 150
98%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 160
98%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 170
97%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 190
88%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 180
87%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 195
74%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 200
58%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 205
45%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 210
27%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 220
9%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen