🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 180
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$74
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 81%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 180 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 175
90%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 170
81%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 185
68%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 190
52%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 195
46%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 200
31%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 205
15%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 210
6%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 220
4%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 230
2%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$74
CategoryElections
StatusOpen