Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 310

Live

Resolves Nov 17, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

90%

10%

No (10%)Yes (90%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 90%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 310 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 260

99%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 270

98%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 280

98%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 290

97%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 300

90%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 320

78%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 330

51%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 340

36%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 350

29%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

90%

probability of YES

Kalshi

90%Check

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Resolution

Nov 17, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$2k

Liquidity$3k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen