🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.1%
Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$942
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — Below 38.8%
32%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.8%
31%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.9%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.0%
10%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.2%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.4%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — Above 39.4%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 16, 2026? — 39.3%
2%
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$942
CategoryElections
StatusOpen