📊 Macro
Unemployment in September
Unemployment in September — Above 3.7%
Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$62
Liquidity
$448
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Unemployment in September
Unemployment in September — Above 3.8%
95%
Unemployment in September — Above 3.9%
93%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.0%
72%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.1%
42%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.2%
14%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.9%
8%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.8%
6%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.3%
6%
Unemployment in September — Above 5.0%
5%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.6%
3%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.7%
3%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.5%
2%
Unemployment in September — Above 4.4%
2%
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$62
Liquidity$448
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen