🗳️ Elections
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Maintenance or upgrade work
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$77k
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.
About this market
If a Source Agency confirms after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 that maintenance, an upgrade or another planned change to an FAA or contractor system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Any specific cause confirmed
97%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Equipment or system failure
78%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Software or configuration error
73%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Human error
43%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Telecom carrier or contractor fault
32%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — SMART AI system
26%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — AI tool or agent error
10%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Cable cut or physical damage
6%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$77k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen