🗳️ Elections
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — SMART AI system
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$71k
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%.
About this market
If a Source Agency confirms after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026 that a problem with the FAA's SMART air traffic management system caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on Nov 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Any specific cause confirmed
97%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Equipment or system failure
78%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Software or configuration error
73%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Human error
43%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Telecom carrier or contractor fault
32%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Maintenance or upgrade work
15%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — AI tool or agent error
10%
What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop? — Cable cut or physical damage
6%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$71k
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen