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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.0
Closed
Resolves Oct 11, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
99%
No
1%
No (1%)Yes (99%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.
About this market
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 11, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026?
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.4
12%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.6
7%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 7.0
5%
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 11, 2026? — Magnitude of at least 6.8
3%
Resolution
Oct 11, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusClosed