🗳️ Elections
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gavin Newsom

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Gavin Newsom has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar
37%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Corey Lewandowski
24%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Cassidy Hutchinson
24%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — John Brennan
15%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gustavo Petro
14%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Larry Krasner
14%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Fani Willis
12%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Dan J. Sullivan
12%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jack Smith
11%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Anthony Fauci
11%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Kimberly Guilfoyle
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Keith Ellison
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — James Clapper
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Cook
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Peter Strzok
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Hunter Biden
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Andrew Weissmann
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Chris Krebs
8%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Tim Walz
8%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Adam Schiff
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Monaco
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jennifer Siebel Newsom
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — E. Jean Carroll
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Tucker Carlson
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — George Soros
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Alvin Bragg
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Letitia James
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jacob Frey
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Leon Black
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Milley
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen