🗳️ Elections
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gavin Newsom

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$365
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Gavin Newsom has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar
23%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — John Brennan
11%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — James Clapper
10%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Peter Strzok
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Letitia James
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Fani Willis
9%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Kimberly Guilfoyle
8%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Corey Lewandowski
8%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Dan J. Sullivan
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Leon Black
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Larry Krasner
7%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Hunter Biden
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Chris Krebs
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Anthony Fauci
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Lisa Monaco
6%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Keith Ellison
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Adam Schiff
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Milley
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Reid Hoffman
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Miles Taylor
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Andrew Weissmann
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Elissa Slotkin
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Christopher Wray
5%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Joe Kent
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Cassidy Hutchinson
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jennifer Siebel Newsom
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Gustavo Petro
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Chris Christie
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Liz Cheney
4%
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jack Smith
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$365
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen