🎯 Other
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Haley Stevens
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$177
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 21%.
About this market
If Haley Stevens leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For Senators only: If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, Haley Stevens announces they will no longer caucus with the Democratic party or begins caucusing with a different party, the market also resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Lisa Murkowski
10%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — John Fetterman
7%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Thomas Massie
6%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Don Bacon
5%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Henry Cuellar
5%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$177
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen