🎯 Other
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Thomas Massie
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$24
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Thomas Massie leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Haley Stevens
17%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Lisa Murkowski
10%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — John Fetterman
7%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Don Bacon
5%
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? — Henry Cuellar
5%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$24
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen