🗳️ Elections

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 41%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the U.S. Department of the Interior or the U.S. National Park Service announces an agreement to transfer federal land within Yosemite National Park or an easement over that land to Kingsbarn Realty Capital or an entity it controls in exchange for land before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
41%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen