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Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?

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Resolves Apr 1, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

18%

82%

No (82%)Yes (18%)

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Open

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Kalshi currently prices this at 18%.

About this market

If China agrees to or announces approval by the National People's Congress or its Standing Committee of at least 1 trillion yuan in additional central government bonds above the amount in its most recently approved annual central budget before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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