🗳️ Elections
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved up 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen