🗳️ Elections
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$146
Liquidity
$18k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved down 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$146
Liquidity$18k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen