🗳️ Elections

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$132

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$132
CategoryElections
StatusOpen