🗳️ Elections

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 12?

Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$80
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$80
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen