🗳️ Elections

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$256

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 37%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$256
CategoryElections
StatusOpen