🗳️ Elections
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 52%

Live
Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$693
Liquidity
$698

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 33%
99%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 21%
99%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 42%
99%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 35%
99%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 39%
98%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 47%
96%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 29%
95%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 26%
95%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 31%
93%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 37%
16%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 56%
15%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 50%
11%
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 54%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
15%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$693
Liquidity$698
CategoryElections
StatusOpen