🗳️ Elections
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥22%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 22%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥1%
99%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥4%
87%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥7%
21%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥10%
5%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥19%
2%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥16%
1%
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥13%
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen